There is nothing worse than a nationalist launching an ordago behind a proposal that is impossible to accept because he then feels frustrated and can not return home empty-handed, because it would be like committing suicide in the middle of the village square. To avoid this, he goes to the mountain for though he knows that it will not bring him nearer to his purpose, let it at least buy him time and not lose face. This is ultimately the problem of those who return empty-handed, not to lose face, because As Tarradellas said, the worst is mockery.
Putin is a Russian nationalist, because they are there too, a man who thinks so the dissolution of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics it was a tragedy that stripped Moscow of control of two million square kilometers and reduced Russia to what Obama called a “regional power.” For Putin, it was a flag of fire and that’s why wants to regain great power status relies on assets as powerful as its armed forces, its nuclear potential (1,500 warheads), its permanent seat on the Security Council and its veto power. And also its export of gas to a Europe that needs it because the price of electricity is through the roof. With those toes he plays hard outside and hides internal weaknesses such as its low population, its GDP like the Italian, or its export dependence on raw materials (gas and oil). And now he has decided to have an explosion in Ukraine.
Moscow is not without reason in doing so, but it is not without reason in how to do so. After 12 countries of the former USSR joined NATO, the Kremlin drew a red line on Ukraine. It will not accept that this country enters or that it receives US and NATO weapons aimed at Russia on its territory. He demands guarantees that the doors of the Organization will not be opened for him in the future either, he wants NATO to withdraw conventional forces of the Baltic countries, Romania or Poland, and for that matter it also wants a veto over the possible rapprochement of Finland or Sweden (two neutral countries) to NATO if they want to do so one day. also want that the United States does not deploy nuclear weapons on European soil.
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These are unaffordable claims and the North American negotiators said this after the first contacts, because influences the sovereign autonomy of states and because they are even less acceptable when done under pressure from 100,000 Russian soldiers deployed along the Ukraine border. Following the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan, the United States cannot allow its decision to be questioned, as it would send a dangerous signal of weakness would demoralize European allies and this could lead to China also being wrong about the strength of its support for Taiwan. In other words, the US cannot give in to Russian blackmail over Ukraine and the problem is that Putin is also unable to withdraw his troops and return to Moscow empty-handed after what he has drawn up. Swords are up and can be a way out put other issues in the negotiation basket on which there would be more flexibility. The OSCE chairman believes that war is possible.
in this crisis the losers are in principle two: Ukraine and the European Union. The first because it has already lost Crimea, and it is likely that it will also lose the “republics of Donetsk and Lugansk & rdquor; which are increasingly sliding towards Russia, and because the Russian attitude fears in its body and what will affect their future behavior, if not worse. And the EU, because it did not take part in any of the meetings that were held to deal with this conflict in the heart of Europe. It is true that its member states have done this, but not the EU as such, and it emphasizes once again its weakness due to the lack of a common foreign policy. The outcome of the crisis will be decided between Russians and Americans while “our little ones” watch from the sidelines.
Reference-www.elperiodico.com