The 4 reasons for the ‘door slam’ of Aragonès to the PSC in the budgets

Although it may seem paradoxical, ERC and PSC, both defined as social democratic forces, they offer very different models for the future for Catalonia. “We do not have the same country model,” Pere Aragonès snapped to Salvador Illa, in the Parliament. “There is nothing free”, continued the Republican convinced that the pact with the PSC is nothing more than the political version of the hug of the bear. Among other things because undo 52% majority in favor of independence and 59% in favor of a self-determination referendum. But not only in terms of ‘procés’ great differences are observed, also, for example, in the economic model. The PSC champions Catalan involvement in what is known as ‘macro-projects’. That is, the project of Hard Rock in Tarragona, the winter Olympics and the expansion of El Prat. ERC, in an indisputable way, and since he holds the presidency, has dragged his feet in the first two, almost by legal imperative, and openly opposed the third.

One of the strengths that ERC has in the Generalitat, since Aragonès was vice president, is the power that his parliamentary group in Congress. It is the benchmark of independence, thanks to the post-convergent fracture, with a difference of seats (13 to 4) over Junts that does not occur in the Parliament. And thanks to electoral arithmetic, it is also the key force for Pedro Sánchez can stay smoothly in the Moncloa. All of it it would be diminished capitid if, in turn, Catalan governance happens to be in the hands of the PSC. And also at a time when, in Madrid, they coincide the negotiation of the General State Budgets, with the addition of the audiovisual law, and the ‘discreet’ encounters of the table of negotiation and dialogue of the political conflict.

ERC is the Catalan party that it is homogeneously distributed throughout the territory. And it has two great enemies, at the local level. At ‘back-country’, the duel occurs with Together. But in the Metropolitan area, the most populous, by far, the Republicans’ goal is toto rake more and more votes to the PSC. Especially in their fiefdoms and take away all possible mayoralties, as already happened with Sabadell, and, outside the Barcelona area, the cities of Tarragona and Lleida. Given this perspective, which obeys the strategy drawn by Oriol Junqueras and Marta Rovira In his book ‘Tornarem a Véncer’ to broaden the base in metropolitan cities, it seems a bad idea to give prominence to socialist rivals. And less allow them to present themselves as salvadores of budgets (in addition expansive), that is to say, the factors that the money flows.

Apply the same reasoning already in code of the Generalitat. There is no media-political guru with his own consultancy who advises to dress the leader of the opposition (and winner in votes on 14-F) with a double patina: to be an imitation of Mr. Wolf from ‘Pulp Fiction’ (or problem fixer) after the mess with the CUP and a politician who is moved the sense of responsibility in a time, this, so difficult, between pandemic and post-pandemic

In the accounts that the Republicans took, back when the inauguration, they underlined the count of left-wing pro-independence deputies (ERC and CUP) and that of Junts. The advantage was 10 deputies. This has allowed, also thanks to the fact that the presidency falls on Esquerra, that the post-convergents have been left alone on several occasions. The airport and the opening of negotiations with the ‘comuns’ and not with the PSC would be the manual examples. A change of preferred partner, from the CUP to the PSC, could cause the Republicans to be at a disadvantage. The danger, the clamp, detected at the first exchange by ERC, when the controversy over El Prat, already has a ‘vintage’ name: the ‘sociovergència. And, in fact, it is one of the elements with which ERC pressures the CUP to agree, since the anti-capitalists already openly use that term to describe the current drift of the Government.