In just a few weeks, installed in Spanish politics a sense of change. At first it was not easy to recognize him. It was like a distant, imperceptible sound. But in a few days it began to be heard in many offices. Well-informed advisers, advising the who’s who of the business world, have begun warning their clients that in the next general election, Alberto Nunez Feijoo will be president of the Government. Of course with vox inside of the Executive.
This prediction has spread like wildfire despite the risk involved in giving a politician like Pedro Sanchezan absolute survivor, liquidated. Neither the Government nor the PSOE are taken for granted. It is recognized, and this was pointed out this week to El Periódico de España, a newspaper of the Prensa Ibérica group to which EL PERIÓDICO also belongs, socialist deputies, that the espionage crisis of ‘pegasus‘. it is even admitted that the electoral result in Andalusia will be bad. But from there to Sánchez not going to win the next generals it goes a long way. “There is time,” say party sources.
The problem is that it is not only the degree of success of the Government that worries. that this week, betraying an obvious nervousness, has resorted to the corruption of the PP to try to cover up what the head of the director of the CNI has offered to ingratiate himself with the independence movement. It is that the entire field of the left spreads the concern about the cold war waged Yolanda Diaz with Can and for the future of the platform that she must lead to the left of the PSOE. The test in Andalusia, which has gone ahead ‘in extremis’, with last-minute negotiations and the administrative error that Podemos does not formally appear in the coalition, has only increased it. “Either we do something or this is going to be taken for granted“, says a leader committed to a progressive alliance around the second vice president.
In Moncloa this situation also unsettles. The restlessness is not just now but has been evident for several months. Sánchez and the team closest to him are fully aware that Díaz’s candidacy is essential to have options to reissue the current majority of the investiture and the coalition government. “We need it“, sources from the Executive confess. But the feeling throughout the left is that Díaz is being boycotted by the purple formation and, fundamentally, by paul churcheswho does not spare a single assessment of her performances, many times to reprimand her.
Three legs in the Government
The distance exhibited by Díaz and the two ‘black leg’ ministers of Podemos, Ione Belarra and Irene Montero, is so broad that there is no longer talk of a coalition government but divided into three blocks. Knowledgeable sources assume that, indeed, that of the Vice President and that of the Minister of Social Rights and General Secretary of Podemos and the Minister of Equality are two different universes and that each one works “for free”. But, they also emphasize, that every time there is a conflict, when the glass is about to spill, they are able to pick up the phone and reach an agreement.
Sanchez is aware of the none that his second vice president suffers and he has given orders in Moncloa, according to government sources, that his work be facilitated. That “give him what he asks for” to boost his public image and, by extension, his candidacy. Throughout the legislature, the internal combat between the PSOE and United We Can has been continuous and totally public. The first, ignoring their partners, trying to act as if they did not exist. The latter trying to convey that everything the Government has done well, especially in the social sphere, is thanks to its influence. That drive seems to have disappeared or has been circumscribed to very specific aspects and, since Iglesias’ march a year ago, communication between Sánchez and Díaz has been strengthened.
The perception that the vice president does not have the support of Podemos, despite acknowledging that it is their best electoral poster, is something that the PSOE is also very aware of. “It’s a power war“, declare sources of the organization. “We are confident that in the end there will be understanding” because she, they emphasize, is the one who has the “social leadership”.
He didn’t seize his moment
Other party sources believe, however, that Diaz is not right either. He has postponed several times the so-called “listening process” with which he was going to tour Spain to shape his project. First last summer, then after the approval of the labor reform, later when the elections in Castilla y León passed, they remember. This hesitation, they maintain, offers a “bad image”. He must have taken advantage of his moment, when last fall he was the center of all eyes. In politics, they conclude, “time management is essential”. Another mistake they attribute to him is his determination to sideline the parties, something he does by defending that they will not be part of his movement. “Without organization you do nothingThis is something that other formations to the left of the PSOE also reproach him for.
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Andalusia has already revealed what difficult it is to reach agreements and this example has raised alarm bells. Only a few days later in Valencia, the so-called ‘Turia Agreement’ was presented, bringing together compromise, More Country, Aragonese Chunta (CHA), Month for Mallorca Y Greens Equo. An amalgamation of parties paving the way for the confluence, which Diaz can lead. It is a way to avoid the last minute mess in Seville.
In the field of the left, it is already assumed without hesitation that the irruption of Alberto Feijóo has modified the situation because it has reinforced the PP as an alternative. It has also happened, they indicate, very quickly. “They can add PP and Vox, you have to get your batteries“. All eyes are on Andalusia. Whether or not there is a ‘Feijóo effect’ that contributes to expanding the good result that is presumed for the President of the Board, Juanma Moreno, and puts a brake on Vox. And whether the The left, despite the erosion of the coalition government and the collapse of the Andalusian PSOE, is still competitive.