Partner Content | Red Sox vs. Accessory Picks Blue Jays: Bet on a big day for Vladdy

The Toronto Blue Jays have yet to lose a series this season, a trend they will look to continue with a four-game series against the Boston Red Sox beginning Monday at Rogers Center.

The pre-game narrative: Toronto tangles with Nathan Eovaldi to kick off the series after a 4-2 road trip. Blue Jays hitters who can handle his elite speed should thrive, while players with even the slightest shortcoming in bat speed could have a long day against the flamethrower.

Here are our top picks for Red Sox vs. Blue Jays for April 25.

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Overview of Red Sox Vs. Accessory Picks blue jays

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. over 1.5 bases (-105)
  • Bo Bichette over 0.5 runs (+115)
  • Rafael Devers over 1.5 bases (+100)

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prop picks

Best bet: Guerrero over 1.5 bases (-105)

Unsurprisingly, the Blue Jays’ best hitter represents their best chance to do some serious damage against Boston’s best starter. Eovaldi’s biggest strength is a fastball that averages 96.7 mph, but high-velocity heaters just aren’t a problem for Guerrero.

Read more: Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Betting Picks

Since the start of the 2021 season, the 23-year-old has slugged .733 against pitches of 96 mph or faster. That’s the best mark in the majors among hitters with at least 75 plate appearances resolved on those pitches.

Second best is Juan Soto’s .577.

Vladdy should have no problem reaching a fastball from Eovaldi.  Photo by Steven Senne/AP.

While Eovaldi has a diverse repertoire beyond his heater, Guerrero hasn’t had a discernible weakness at the plate since he broke out last year. He also doesn’t have a negative run value against any pitch.

Add in the fact that Eovaldi is in the bottom 10% of the league in exit velocity and allowed barrel rate so far this season, and the recipe for hard contact and extra bases is clear.

Rogers Center is also one of the top 10 stadiums for right-handed home run hitters. It is especially favorable when the roof is closedgiving Guerrero a good chance to cash in on this accessory with a single hit.

The last time Guerrero faced Eovaldi, he went 2-for-2 with a walk, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see him have similar success on Monday.

Key stat: Guerrero has two or more total bases in 10 of his 16 games this season, including each of his last four.

Read more: The best MLB accessory picks for April 25

quick picks

Bichette over 0.5 runs (+115): Bichette is off to a rocky start, but he has been on base six times in his last four games, including a pair of walks that could indicate his pitching recognition is coming. The shortstop also has a solid record against Eovaldi (5-for-15 with one homer and just one strikeout), plus the benefit of Guerrero’s bat to push him around.

Devers over 1.5 bases (+100): The Red Sox slugger has cashed in this accessory in nine of 16 games. Devers has a .588 slugging percentage in his career against Berrios with an even juicier .789 xSLG, and he doubled it last week. Berrios has allowed left-handed hitters like Devers to hit .266/.328/.495 against him since the start of the 2021 season in 400 plate appearances.

Odds courtesy of Sportingbet as of 10:58am ET on 04/25/2022.


Nick Ashbourne writes about sports betting for NorthStar Bets. NorthStar Bets is owned by NordStar Capital, which also owns Torstar, the parent company of Star. Follow him on Twitter: @NickAshbourne

Disclaimer This content was produced as part of a partnership and therefore may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.

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