The Toronto Blue Jays have started hitting like it’s 2021 in recent weeks, and that should continue on Tuesday against the unimpressive Kansas City Royals pitching staff.
The pre-game narrative: George Springer finds himself in a tempting matchup, Teoscar Hernandez continues to enjoy a prime position in the lineup and Matt Chapman can’t help but get on base.
Check out our best Blue Jays vs. Royals for June 7.
Overview of the accessories selections of the Blue Jays vs. royals
- Jumper over 1.5 bases (-118)
- Hernandez over 0.5 RBI (+120)
- Chapman over 0.5 runs (+116)
Prop picks from the Blue Jays vs. royals
Best bet: Jumper over 1.5 bases (-118)
Springer’s combination of power, a slightly reduced walk rate and opportunities at the top of the lineup often give this support value. But it’s his matchup against Brad Keller that makes him stand out on Tuesday.
The 32-year-old hasn’t seen the right-hander much in his career, going 1-for-5 against him with a double, but he’s shaping up to be exactly the kind of pitcher Springer likes to hit.
Keller is a fastball pitcher who throws his four seams and sinkers 57.2% of the time, and Springer is a fastball hitter. More specifically, he destroys heaters that lack elite speed.
These are the veterans’ numbers against fastballs 94 mph or slower and 95 mph or faster.
| fastball speed | AVERAGE | SLG | wOBA | extra base hits |
| 95 mph or faster | .225 | .425 | .312 | 3 |
| 94 mph or less | .368 | .842 | .526 | eleven |
Although almost all hitters perform better against slower speed, this is a discrepancy that should make Keller, who averaged 93.6 mph on his four-seam and 92.9 mph on his sinker, a little nervous.
Read more: Blue Jays vs. Royals Picks
Springer is a good bet to get to Keller, but if he falls short, he also has a strong chance of getting an extra at-bat or two as the leadoff hitter in a red-hot lineup.
During the Blue Jays’ current 10-2 streak, he has come to the plate at least five times in eight of 10 starts.
The combination of Springer’s skill set and matchup, plus the likelihood of at least one additional opportunity at the plate, makes us confident in the Blue Jays’ most consistent hitter on Tuesday.
Key stat: Springer has multiple walks in seven of his last 10 starts, averaging 2.8 walks per game during that span.
quick picks
Hernandez over 0.5 RBI (+120): As long as the Blue Jays are rolling and Hernandez is hitting clean fourth, there will be solid value in this prop. The outfielder has seven RBIs in his last eight games, and is 4-for-10 in his career against Keller with a home run and a triple.
Chapman over 0.5 runs (+116): Although Chapman doesn’t have the luxury of a prime position in the lineup, he has warmed up significantly in recent days. The third baseman has a .457 OBP in his last eight games with 11 runs scored.
If he keeps moving forward, this red-hot Blue Jays lineup will keep pushing him, and he’s always a threat to bounce back on a long flight.
Fees as of 10:13 am on 06/07/22.
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Reference-www.thestar.com