Winners of their last five games, the Vancouver Canucks have become a genuine must-win place against the Dallas Stars on Monday night. The Canucks are six points behind Los Angeles for the final playoff spot in the Pacific Division, but Vancouver has two games remaining against the Kings and the two teams meet to close out the regular season.
Dallas doesn’t have its back against the wall like Vancouver, but the Stars currently sit in the final wild card spot with 91 points and have a four-point cushion over the Golden Knights. Also, Dallas will want to find a way to finish ahead of Nashville to avoid a Round 1 series with Colorado.
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Stars vs. Canucks Odds
Odds provided by BetMGM
Spread: Stars -1.5 (+200) vs. Canucks +1.5 (-250)
Possibilities: Stars -115 vs. Canucks -105
Total: More than 6 (+100) | Under 6 (-120)
Star Prediction vs. Canucks
Although the Canucks are rolling right now, the Stars have also been in good shape over the last month, going 10-3-2 in their last 15 games. That said, Dallas only sports a +2 goal differential in that span, suggesting that perhaps the Stars have been as lucky as they were good during that stretch. Still, the Stars have done a good job of pushing the game forward during this 15-game streak, posting a 52.9% expected goal rate thanks to an offense that is creating 2.77 xGF per 60 minutes at 5v5.
Despite that 2.77 xGF/60, Dallas is only scoring 2.25 goals per 60 minutes in 5v5, so there’s plenty of room for improvement for the Stars.
Complete 2022 NHL Stanley Cup Odds
Vancouver’s recipe for success hasn’t changed much since Bruce Boudreau took over the team on December 5. The Canucks have played pretty well 5-on-5 during their five-game winning streak, but it’s no secret that Thatcher Demko’s play in goal is where Vancouver makes hay. In his last five games, Demko posted a .932 save percentage and +3.98 goals saved above expectations.
Credit to the Canucks for doing what they had to do to stay alive in the Western Conference playoff race, but I think this price is a bit inflated given Vancouver’s five-game winning streak and the situation in which the team must win on Monday. evening. Vancouver relies too heavily on Demko and if he’s not on the song, the team will struggle against a Stars team that is on a quiet upward trend.
NHL bet: Dallas Stars -120 or better
Reference-nypost.com