Juan Guaidó is already a problem in Venezuela

Juan Guaidó did not have the sense to admit the visible mistakes that he and his companions of the so-called G4 (made up of the Primero Justicia, Un Nuevo Tiempo, Acción Democrática and Voluntad Popular parties) made before “competing” in the regional elections on Sunday.

The 60% abstention in the votes to renew 23 governorships is the clearest and most forceful response of the citizens against the dictatorship and the opposition.

Democracy in Venezuela suffers from necrosis, that is, the fabric of democracy is dead.

Nicolás Maduro has mocked several presidents who have welcomed and accompanied the negotiating tables between the opposition and the regime, the same in the Dominican Republic or, recently, Mexico. It has also done it with Norway, a historic promoter of peace.

The international success generated by the launch of Juan Guaidó as leader of the opposition in January 2019 has been dissipated, to a large extent, by Maduro’s harsh response, organically disintegrating the main opposition parties, but also by the regrettable mistakes made by the G4: the hiring of a US private security company to overthrow Maduro (with the signature of Guaidó) or the lukewarm strategy implemented by the opposition to try to compete in last Sunday’s elections.

The international siege on Venezuela affects public finances, but also private ones. The decline in the quality of life of the average Venezuelan would be enough for any president to leave office due to impotence and social modesty.

This is not the case of Maduro, nor will it be.

The regional environment has been broken for several years now. Geopolitical paradox: more than 50 countries recognize Guaidó as Venezuelan president, but Latin America and the Caribbean seem to have forgotten what is happening in Venezuela, with the exception of Colombia.

The pandemic will be pointed out as a response to justify the absence of diplomatic empathy, but in reality, it is the absence of regional leadership that exacerbates the crisis.

The battles that take place in the OAS reveal ideological clashes led by Nicaragua, Venezuela and Mexico. There is no other living political mechanism that embraces the continent; the rest is dominated by ideologies.

To envision the future of Venezuela, the opposition would have to be the protagonist. To be so, Guaidó, López and Capriles, among others, must step aside and decline the idea that they will be the protagonists of change.


Fausto Pretelin Muñoz de Cote

Consultant, academic, editor

Globali … what?

He was a research professor in the Department of International Studies at ITAM, published the book Referendum Twitter and was editor and contributor to various newspapers such as 24 Horas, El Universal, Milenio. He has published in magazines such as Foreign Affairs, Le Monde Diplomatique, Life & Style, Chilango and Revuelta. He is currently an editor and columnist for El Economista.


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