CAQ ready for majority despite growing voter dissatisfaction: poll

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Nearly three out of four Quebecers think François Legault’s Coalition Avenir Québec government has done a poor or very poor job on health care, affordable housing, care for the elderly and the cost of living, but that won’t stop that the CWC wins another majority this October, a new poll suggests.

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Angus-Reid’s online poll of 1,211 Quebec adults conducted June 7-13 also suggests that the Quebec Liberal Party and Quebec Conservative Party are tied for second place, well behind the CAQ.

Legault’s CAQ garnered 35 percent voter support compared to 19 percent for the Conservatives, 18 percent for the Liberals, 14 percent for Québec solidaire and 10 percent for the Parti Québécois. In the 2018 general election, the CAQ won 37.4% of the vote to win 74 seats.

While Legault’s party is doing poorly among voters ages 18 to 34 (19 percent support among men, 7 percent among women), its base comes from voters age 55 and older, earning 49 percent. percent support among male voters and 47 percent among women in that demographic.

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The CAQ leads in every region of Quebec except the Montreal metropolitan area, where it gets 25 percent, nine percentage points behind the Liberals.

Legault’s party faces a growing threat in the Quebec City region, where the CAQ commands 36% of the polls, just two percentage points ahead of the Conservatives.

While support for the Liberals among Anglophone voters appears to have risen from previous polls, standing at 61 percent, it plummets to just six percent among Francophone voters compared to 43 percent support for the Liberals. CWC

The survey found that the majority of respondents (52 percent) feel that the Legault government is doing a good or very good job when it comes to the economy. However, that satisfaction evaporates when it comes to the five topics respondents identified as most important to them.

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A full 75 percent feel the government has done a poor or very poor job on affordable housing, while 73 percent feel the same about the CAQ’s performance in caring for the elderly.

The government gets a failing grade on health care, with 70 percent saying it has done a poor or very poor job on the subject.

Respondents are unhappy with the government’s record on inflation and the cost of living (69 percent), as well as the environment and climate change (59 percent).

While no margin of error can be assigned to this online poll, a random poll of a sample of this size would have a margin of error of 2.5 percentage points 19 times out of 20.