France: The flag effect wins elections, by Matías Vallés


War does not abolish politics, it only modify your scenario. Europe is risking its collective survival in the invasion of Ukraine, but the continental rulers are beset by individual urgencies. Most polls state that Macron will win the French elections, emphasize that the president has better percentages of acceptance than his predecessors one month after the end of the cycle. When interpreting the unexpected resurgence, remember that the war campaign has crushed the electoral campaignwhich appears even frivolous in a time of life and death.

France therefore refers to the flag effect or ‘l’effet drapeau’, which will decide the elections for the current resident at the Elysee. There is more talk of the presidential role in the war than from combat with other candidates. Turning against Macron is equivalent to siding with Putin, a lethal strategy if it does not abruptly change the consensus on the contest. The appeal to the external enemy immunizes against internal deficiencies. Citizens will vote for a flag rather than a candidate, a preference that does not speak very well of the European rulers. Not only in Paris, also Boris Johnson he has saved himself from defenestration by imitating his biography Churchill against Putin.

The current flag effect overflows that persecuted by Thatcher in the Malvinas, the conquest of Panama by Bush Sr. or the farce of Bush Jr. in Iraq, without elevating Aznar to Parsley from this sauce. The radical disconnection of intimate problems, the famous “real life” of Rajoy, to focus on the absorbing patriotic identity not that an innovation encouraged in the ukrainian steppe. Catalonia was a pioneer in implausible tripartite elections and in voting for flags, setting aside daily affairs to multiply historic days. And if Macron is catapulted out thanks to the warlike atmosphere, the desperation of the popular spokesperson Cuca Gamarra must be understood, accusing Pedro Sánchez of “using the war as an alibi.” In his wild greed, Putin can nullify the impact of the advent of Núñez Feijóo.


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