What will the weather be in Spain this winter?

Winter, what will start next Tuesday, December 21 at 4:59 p.m. peninsular time, warmer and drier than usual is anticipated the further to the northwest of the peninsula, and rainiest in the Mediterranean area and the Balearic Islands, after the coldest autumn in the last 9 years.

At a press conference to inform about seasonal winter prediction and balance of the autumn, the spokesman of the State Meteorological Agency (Aemet), Rubén Del Campo, has advanced that, although “there is no clear signal” for the accumulated precipitation for the next three months in Spain, “in points of Galicia, Asturias and Castile and León it will rain less than normal“.

Regarding temperatures, there are no clear indications either, but the more to the northwest of the peninsula “also increases the likelihood that it is warmer“, the spokesman continued to specify that the winter period, the coldest season with a average temperature between 7.9 and 8 degrees in Spain, It will last until Sunday, March 20, 2022 when the spring equinox arrives.

A “normal” autumn

During the event, the characteristics of autumn 2021 (September 1 and November 30) were explained, which has generally had a “normal character”, with a average temperature of 14.4 degrees (0.1 degrees above average), and it has been the 28th warmest autumn season since 1961 and the coldest eighth of the 21st century.

Autumn was warm in most of Andalusia, the Region of Murcia, the Valencian Community, Catalonia and Galicia, becoming very warm in some parts of these regions, while it was normal or cold in the rest of mainland Spain; in the Balearic Islands, it was warm or very warm in Mallorca and Ibiza, and normal or cold in Menorca, while in the Canary Islands it had a variable behavior.

Del Campo recalled that during this season there were two heat waves in the Canary Islands, and 12 records of high temperatures were reached, compared to one of low temperatures, which confirms “the upward trend of warmer autumns“.

This period has been dry in terms of rainfall, with an average value over mainland Spain of 172 liters per square meter, a value that represents 83 percent of the normal for the quarter, making it the 24th driest autumn since the beginning of the series in 1961, and the eighth of the XXI century.


It was humid or very humid in Castilla-La Mancha, south of Madrid, Castilla y León, Aragon, Navarra, La Rioja, Cantabrian communities and even extremely humid in the Balearic Islands; on the contrary, it was dry or very dry in Andalusia, the Canary Islands, and Galicia and normal in the rest of Spain.

At this point, the spokesperson has influenced the meteorological drought that the Guadalquivir, Eastern Pyrenees, Ebro basins are going through (without taking into account the extraordinary rainfall of the first half of December) and the south, the latter with clear affectation during, at least , the last three years.

Regarding the preliminary balance of all 2021, the data highlights that between January and November the great storm took place ‘filomena‘and two heat waves, the average temperature was 0.4 degrees Celsius above normal, and it is currently the 15th warmest year since 1961.

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Until the first half of December the accumulated precipitation is 538 liters per square meter, 15% below normal, so In general, it can be called “very dry”, although the data by zones indicate that it has been rainier than normal in the eastern peninsular and Cantabrian interior and drier than normal in the southern third, northeast and the Canary Islands.

Today, we would be talking about seventh driest year since 1961 and the driest quarter of the 21st century, the spokesperson concluded.


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