What will Junts be without Carles Puigdemont, Jordi Sànchez or Elsa Artadi at the helm?


Whenever the present and future of Junts per Catalunya are analyzed, the mentality of its creator, the ‘ex-president’, must be taken into account Carles Puigdemontin the same way that the replicants in Blade Runner look hard for answers in their creator, eldon tyrell. Well, Puigdemont’s mentality is allergic to the pyramidal commitment of the parties, to the eternal oaths, to the ideological walls… except for the fight for independence of Catalonia in (almost) all ways. A mentality based on new technologies to reach its goals, although along the way it has assumed many postulates that it has later reneged on.

Having said all of this, that Puigdemont cease to preside over Junts, and that, along with him, weighty people such as the pilot leave the controls jordi sanchez or the omnipresent lieutenant Elsa Artadiand that Laura Borras -president of the Parliament and former candidate for the Generalitat- share the navigation charts that a former convergent like Jordi Turullis more than enough reason to suggest that JxCat faces a challenge similar to that of the PDECat Hello Maid when they were commanded, too, by Puigdemont.

the crossroads

With Turull, Junts will become a match. No more, no less. It will cease to be what for many -such as the ‘expresident’ Quim TorraBorràs herself and other activists with zero political experience – had to be this invention: a mass movement with the aim of reuniting the right-wing and left-wing independence movement, yesterday and today, under the personalistic leadership of the “legitimate ‘president'”, who has managed to win battles against the State -and of whom it is obvious that he proclaimed independence without exercising it despite not having believed in it a few hours before-, and who knows how to transcend the borders of the parties through a populism 2.0 who managed, against all odds, to beat the ERC of Oriol Junqueras in 2017.

Those who want this movement to continue may have to seek other shelters. Puigdemont will prioritize the Council for the Republic, but this private entity will not stand for election. Therefore, Borràs will have a dilemma before him: live with someone as ex-convergent as Turull -who does not intend to handcuff her and could perfectly assume that she repeats as a candidate-, or continue to express her qualities as a woman champion of independence without a party card . With her she can drag a part of the bases and pieces that combine very well this rhetorically irredentist independence movement: Torra, aurora madaula -Vice President of the Parliament-, Jaume-Alonso Cuevillaslocal activists such as those of La Meridiana in Barcelona, ​​the CDRs, etc.

The other path to this crossroads is the one that Turull will draw if he pays attention to the request made by the entire party leadership, with exceptions such as Borràs, of course, and third ways or ‘non-alienated’ like the vice-president of the Government, a Jordi Puignero that has gone from more to less in the internal pools for the future. Turull will prevail because, according to the current leaders, Borràs has stains on her file and the party’s bases are enthusiastic about her but not blind, given the president’s inconsistencies with the ‘Juvilla case’ or your possible future prosecution for embezzlement. And Turull has a virtue, summed up in a lapidary phrase from a member of the Govern de Junts: “As secretary general we need someone who knows.”

forecast

Logic leads us to think that the common adversary of all the Junts families, which is CKDwill act as a unifier before the june congress. An adversary who is going through low hours due to his battered commitment to dialogue with a government whose intelligence services have -allegedly- spied on the ‘president’ himself while Pedro Sanchez proclaimed his commitment to negotiating with the independence movement. Esquerra only has one seat ahead, they remember in Junts. Hence, a distribution of power can be foreseen between Turull, Borràs, the ‘consellers’, the mayors, the territorial leaders and the media figures.

It will be a complex balancein which no one will be indisputable like Puigdemont and where the magic of the movement created in 2017 in a few weeks and that managed to beat ERC will no longer exist, because Turull has many attributes such as appliance man, but among them is not the almost messianic charisma of the ‘ex-president’. And Borràs lives badly having to give up leading roles.

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In the background, and apart from all these cabals -typical of any big party-, the question will continue to be whether JxCat is capable of being credible as a central political and government force, but at the same time promises to re-create a conflict with the state of such magnitude that it achieves independence through sacrifice and action on the street unilaterally. With Puigdemont and his movements abroad since 2017, this aura has been maintained.

With Turull, despite the fact that he raises the same speech, just as forceful, it will be seen. Above all because the ‘exconseller’ has always been a order man and the party is today a structure with many ramifications in the Government and the territory -including the Barcelona Provincial Council-, which means salaries and stabilities that are not very compatible with going out into the streets to provoke another conflict with the law.


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