Three Manitoba constituencies to set the tone for federal election outcome: expert – Winnipeg | The Canadian News

As Election Day approaches, Liberals must win Winnipeg South in this federal election or they will be sitting on the other side of the House of Commons.

That’s according to Malcolm Bird, a political scientist at the University of Manitoba, who says there are three battlefield districts in Winnipeg.

Winnipeg South, Charleswood – St. James-Assiniboia-Headingley and Elmwood-Transcona are all critical in deciding who will form the next federal government, he says.

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According to Bird, Elmwood-Transcona will be a showdown between NDP incumbent Daniel Blaikie and Rejeanne Caron of the Conservatives.

“Caron is an indigenous woman who has been a police officer for 27 years. She seems to be a fairly reasonable contender. Driving has turned tory once in the last 10 years and the numbers show it will be close. She’s going to provide some really strong competition for Mr. Blaikie. “

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The historically liberal stronghold, Winnipeg South, is essentially a rematch between liberal Terry Duguid and conservative Melanie Maher.

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Bird says that younger voters, who tend to support the Liberal or NDP parties, are returning to work or school, which could work well for conservatives as a whole.

“The question is who will go to the polls. My feeling is that it will be a mediocre turnout and that will favor the Conservatives because their voters tend to be older and more consistent, so that’s a big concern for the NDP and the Liberals. “

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According to Bird, if millennials aren’t going to vote, the NDP and liberals will lose a lot of ground not just in Manitoba but across the country.

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“In terms of Winnipeg South and Charleswood – St. James, those are outer suburbs with a bit of rural and those are key battlegrounds between liberals and conservatives. Whoever wins those outer suburbs will form the government. “

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