The risk of regrowth shoots up 13 points in Catalonia

The coronavirus keep moving forward in Catalonia and in the whole of Spain, but to a pace very far from that of other European countries, some of which are reverting to restrictions. High vaccination is slowing down the effects of the virus, but it is reluctant to disappear and hospitals are even seeing an increase in the number of patients. According to data updated this Wednesday by Salut, the spread of the coronavirus continues to grow in Catalonia, where the risk of regrowth has gone from moderate to medium-high level -more than 70 EPG points-. From yesterday to today it has risen 13 points, going from 72 to 85. And for the third day in a row, the number of people hospitalized for covid increases again.

The experts, as the group of researchers at the UPC BiocomSc, highlight that the growth is more widespread than in summer, although lower, and they call for vaccination those who are not yet immunized to avoid the consequences of the virus.

With regard to hospital tension, stagnant for days, today 328 people hospitalized for covid, five more than yesterday, of which 78, two less than the day before, are in the ucis.

The official number of deaths from covid since the beginning of the epidemic amounts to 24,009, six notified this Wednesday corresponding to the last days, when no deceased person was counted. Mortality remains at the lowest levels since the start of the epidemic, with a total of 10 deaths from the coronavirus in the last seven days.

Benchmark indicators

As we have said, the risk of regrowth (EPG), an index that measures the growth potential of the epidemic, stands at 85 points this Wednesday. Yesterday it exceeded the medium-high risk level, established between 70 and 100 points.

The speed of spread of the virus (Rt) in Catalonia today is 1.36, two hundredths more than yesterday, that is, that every 100 infected infect an average of 136 people, so transmission continues to grow despite the fact that, As we insist, vaccination has its effects and slows down its consequences.

Since the beginning of the epidemic, a total of 1,010,308 people have been diagnosed with covid-19 by all kinds of tests in Catalonia, 901 of them in the last 24 hours.

The positivity -the percentage of CRP and TA with a positive result- is 2.52%, on the rise for days, and still well below 5%, which is the percentage established by the World Health Organization (WHO) to consider an epidemic under control.

By regions

By region, those with the highest risk of regrowth today are Garrigues (488), Garrotxa (437), Segarra (325), Ripollès (284), Alt Penedès (276) and Terra Alta (201 ), while there are 8 regions, one less than yesterday, with a low risk – less than 30-.

The Barcelonès region, the most populated, Today it has an EPG of 82 points, 17 points more than yesterday, in medium-high risk -between 70 and 100-, a cumulative incidence at 7 days of 27 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, one more, and a Rt of 1.78 , thirty-two hundredths more than the day before.

By municipalities

By municipalities, those with the worst EPG are Vilafranca del Penedès (487), Olesa de Montserrat (441), Igualada (434), Olot (379), Tortosa (259), Sant Just Desvern (251), Vilassar de Mar (239) and Lleida (200) and there are 13 cities in more than 20,000 inhabitants which are below 30, the low risk threshold.

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There are four municipalities with a Rt greater than 3, that is, they are tripling the spread: Sant Boi de Llobregat (3.62), Olot (3.57), Olesa de Montserrat (3.42) and Cerdanyola del Vallès (3.30 ) while twelve other cities have an Rt greater than 2.

In the City of Barcelona, the EPG index is 87 points today, 16 more than yesterday -in medium high risk-, with an IA7 of 30 cases, two more, and an Rt of 1.73, twenty-six hundredths more than the day before.

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