The Government does not have the support for the anti-crisis decree and faces a heart attack vote

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  • The Executive is aware that even has not tied the votes and has focused on convincing ERC and Bildu to at least facilitate its validation

  • The Socialists believe they could count on the bullet in the chamber of the abstention of the PP because “It is not permitted” reject the text

The Government faces this Thursday in Congress another heart attack vote, almost three months after the roulette in which the labor reform became. The political storm unleashed by the alleged espionage of pro-independence leaders has ended up affecting the validation of the royal decree law of measures against the war in Ukraine, which includes the direct subsidy of gasoline. Over the days, ERC has been hardening its position and does not guarantee that it will support it. Moncloa currently does not know the meaning of its vote, which until last week was favorable. Sources of the Executive recognized yesterday Tuesday to this newspaper that the accounts “they don’t go out“. EH Bildu, with a deputy among the more than 60 positions that have been spied on by the Pegasus ‘software’ through their mobile phones, also does not clarify what he will vote for.

Even United We Can has mobilized to try to convince the ERC and the ‘abertzale’ formation, which demand a much more forceful reaction from the Executive than the one offered so far. The Government has chosen to open an internal investigation in the CNI, which means implicitly assuming that they are the authors of the wiretaps, and unblocking the official secrets commission, something that began to be done yesterday, Tuesday, with a resolution of the president of the Congress, Meritxell Batet, who lowers the majority for its constitution and deactivates the veto of the PP to these two independence groups.

But none of this seems to be worth the Republicans, who insist on their claim of political responsibilities, that is, that resignations occur. “You have to do something powerful“, point out some government sources. This demand has placed the Cabinet in the abyss. Without expecting it, almost without understanding whose interests this campaign obeys, in which, some sources maintain, there is a point of “overacting“The Government denies that there has been espionage and defends that any action by the CNI, in relation to the illegal referendum on 1-O or the riots in Barcelona and the rest of Catalonia in October 2019 after the sentence of the ‘procés ‘, has always had judicial endorsement.

Republicans insist on demanding resignations. Some in the Government agree that “something powerful” must be done, but for now the official discourse is that everything has been done in accordance with the law

Therefore, nothing is guaranteed. “The situation it is complex and not easy to manage“, recognize socialist sources involved in the negotiation with the groups. The Executive and the parliamentary leadership led by Héctor Gómez are redoubling the conversations with the parties, especially with the usual partners, although they are aware that the entry of the ‘Pegasus case’ on the scene has completely disrupted a vote that was presumed placid.In principle, the bipartisan PSOE (120) and United We Can (33 plus the deputy Meri Pita, who marched to the Mixed) would have the support of Más País-Compromís (3), PNV (6), PDECat (4), Partido Regionalista de Cantabria (1) and Nueva Canarias (1), which would raise the sum to 169 yeses.

“minority government”

Vox (52) and Ciudadanos (9) are already located in the no, like Junts (4), the two ex-parliamentaries of UPN or Foro Asturias. If ERC (13) and PP (88) voted no but Bildu abstained, the text would be saved, although by the minimum. The Republicans, however, have not yet defined their position. They are waiting for a new movement from the Executive to clarify the alleged espionage on the independence leaders, hence the first words that Pedro Sánchez pronounces this Wednesday in plenary in response to his spokesperson, Gabriel Rufián, are key. The president, in fact, summoned journalists in the Senate on Tuesday to wait until the control session in Congress to know his position on the Pegasus case, which will mark a turning point. the one that can straighten out the very tense relationship with ERC or the one that may not fix things.

The socialists prioritize carrying out the decree with their usual partners. Sánchez is expected to launch a message this Wednesday to ERC in the control session in Congress

“If there are groups that have told us no, we must work with those who show greater predisposition,” they conclude in the direction of the Socialist Group. That is to say, that in the PSOE they do not give up everything with ERC or with Bildu. Moreover, although the Executive say they are aware of the enormous “anger” of those of Pere Aragonès, they believe that dialogue with them is not going through its most critical, definitive phase. “We know from minute one that this is a minority governmentand there were also complicated moments, such as when they did not support us in the extensions of the state of alarm”, at the beginning of the pandemic, a minister declared this Tuesday in the corridors of the Upper House. That is to say, they hope that, in the end, , CKD know “pull apart“The two plans, the Pegasus case and the shock plan against the war.

And the PP? The spokeswoman first, and then Sánchez himself, publicly called for the support of the conservatives for the decree law, they summoned Alberto Núñez Feijóo to demonstrate with facts that they are more predisposed to consensus. In this case, it was not just a rhetorical appeal, because it is not ruled out that the Government I managed to save the text thanks to the abstention of the popular. Moreover, if ERC and Bildu are in the no, the position of the conservatives will be totally decisive. “Today we don’t know what the PP is going to do“, the president disfigured Javier Maroto, spokesman for the PP in the upper house, “what are you going to do, are you going to approve it or not?” There was no response.

“The PP always betrays”

In the Socialist Group and in the Executive they interpret that “the normal” is that Feijóo orders the abstention of his own in the vote on Thursday, because it would be difficult to explain the no to measures such as the gasoline bonus or direct aid to the sectors most affected by the war in Ukraine. But the leaders most involved in conversations they insist that it cannot be done “to depend” the luck of the decree in the vote of the PP. “I have no idea what they will do, the PP always betrays”, they sentence exhaustively in Moncloa.

The Executive does not plan to incorporate Feijóo’s proposals into the decree, arguing that it offers solutions “from the past & rdquor; and they are not in line with the recommendations of different organizations

Isabel Rodríguez did assure this Tuesday after the Council of Ministers that, in the absence of a more exhaustive analysis, the Executive will not assume any of the proposals put forward by the new popular leader, such as a generalized tax reduction, because it is not the line they recommend ” international organizations and other bodies. Also because it offers solutions “of the last“, are “old” formulas, they do not solve inflation and gave a “negative” result, because they were “cuts in the welfare state”, a path that the bipartisan “does not share”.

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In addition, the Executive does not want to introduce changes in the decree law because its duration is limited to three monthsuntil June 30, unless the war in Eastern Europe continues beyond that time horizon.

Until Tuesday night, as this newspaper had learned, there had been no new contact with the PP, which is waiting for a call from Moncloa. And he has not set a position, no matter how much the government considers that “can’t be allowed to vote no“Cs, in fact, has announced its rejection of the decree law.



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