NFL WEEK 10 Picks: Bilicki Picks

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The lines are of covers.com and home teams in CAP.

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Baltimore -7.5 over MIAMI

It’s games like that where you remember that everyone can suck on Thursday night. And sometimes both teams lay an egg.

INDIANAPOLIS -10.5 over Jacksonville

While you have to like how the Jags were able to score the big upset over Buffalo last week, we’re not betting lightning strikes twice in two weeks.

NEW ENGLAND -2 over Cleveland

The Browns have their COVID issues with their RB body, but what we’re seeing is an injured Baker Mayfield deal with what Bill Belichick will throw at him.

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Atlanta +8.5 over DALLAS

Tyron Smith’s injury is a concern for the Dallas line, and Ezekiel Elliott is also ill. We wouldn’t expect another big surprise in Big D, but we can see the Falcons improving to get coverage.

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NEW YORK JETS +13 over Buffalo

The Bills haven’t beaten the Jets since 2018 and New York proved last week that it is capable of racking up junk time points. Mike White starts after leaving the game last Thursday, and that’s good news when you consider that the other options are Josh Johnson and Joe Flacco.

TENNESSEE -3 over New Orleans

Pressure is the name of the game for the Titans defense and they are getting it without having to bomb. The Saints are giving the ball back to Trevor Siemian and that’s not exactly a good thing here. There is also hope that the Titans offense will get a little further on track after not having to do much against the Rams.

WASHINGTON +8.5 over Tampa Bay

Both teams are coming back from their bye weeks, but the Bucs can’t seem to get healthy goals for Tom Brady. The soccer team has its own problems, but there are many points to pass up at home.

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Detroit +8 over PITTSBURGH

Can the Lions get their first win after coming off their break? Not likely, but with bigger games on the horizon, the Steelers could find themselves caught looking to the future.

LA CHARGERS -3 over Minnesota

With everything that has been going on with the Vikings this week, from Dalvin Cook’s domestic drama and loads of COVID-19 concerns, it’s hard to back them up on the road against a good team.

Carolina +10 on ARIZONA

Everyone is understandably high on the Cardinals right now, but with Christian McCaffrey even closer to 100% and Sam Darnold thankfully out of the game, we can’t help but take the points here.

Seattle +3 over GREEN BAY

We don’t doubt Aaron Rodgers’ ability to play without having to put in some practice time, but the Seahawks are getting Russell Wilson back and fresh off his break.

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DENVER -2.5 over Philadelphia

The Eagles’ new running game finally faces a real test this week against the Broncos. Denver hasn’t given up after trading Von Miller and they also have Jerry Jeudy on offense.

LAS VEGAS +2.5 over Kansas City

The Chiefs were lucky last week to face the Packers without Aaron Rodgers. But, KC’s offense is still stuck at neutral and the rival Raiders won’t be doing them any favors at home this week.

LA Rams -4 over SAN FRANCISCO

The rose is out of the flower for Kyle Shanahan. The 49ers defense has been average at best and won’t be able to pressure Matt Stafford into making mistakes like the Titans did last week.

Last week: 5-9

This season: 58-77-1

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