File | Canadian Defense | The improbable 2% (3 articles)

(Ottawa) Let’s be clear. The Russian army will not land on Baffin Island tomorrow morning because Donald Trump has handed over NATO deadbeats like Canada to its grazing. The fact remains that the recent charge of the candidate for the Republican nomination should sound a new alarm signal to the Canadian government, where the equivalent of 2% of GDP is still not spent on defense.

The Kremlin can invade member countries of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) that do not devote 2% of their gross domestic product (GDP) to defense if it wants, according to Donald Trump, likely candidate Republican in the November presidential election. “In fact, I encourage them to do whatever they want,” he said recently at a rally in South Carolina.


Donald Trump attacked NATO deadbeats during a rally in Conway, South Carolina, on February 10.

Even if the American Congress adopted a law last December aimed at preventing any president from unilaterally withdrawing from the alliance, it would not be enough to limit the damage of a return of the real estate magnate to the House- Blanche, believes Justin Massie, full professor in the department of political science at the University of Quebec in Montreal (UQAM).

The most likely fear is that Canada’s adversaries – we think of Russia or China – will want to try to see: what is the American reaction if we try to penetrate Canadian airspace? What is the reaction if we send submarines or combat ships into Canadian territorial waters?

Justin Massie, full professor in the political science department at UQAM

“This is what the Chinese do in Taiwan on a daily basis. They put Taiwanese anti-aircraft defenses to the test. And there is no indication that they could not do the same thing with NATO allies,” underlines the man who is also co-director of the Strategic Analysis Network.


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