Díaz considers ERC lost and the Government soothes the labor reform with Cs

One day. Only one day left. Time is running out and there is less and less room for negotiation. The Government is facing the decisive vote on the labor reform, which will, for better or worse, be one of the milestones of the legislature, without the numbers being one hundred percent assured and with very little slack. The only road that already seems passable is just the one that United We Can did not want, that of Citizens and the small parties. Because ERC and PNV continue to be anchored in the no.

Talks will stretch with both parties until the last minutebut even the press – and therein lies the key turn – assumes that the Republicans, except (unlikely) a turnaround, will continue to Royal decision law. That is, they already accept that the ratification can flourish with the help of the oranges and without the investiture partners. Socialists share that it “very difficult“attracts the formation of Oriol Junqueras, but they will continue to try, and also with the Basque nationalists, to have a bigger cushion. Because the Executive has been exposed to a very risky move: that the text succeeds in to be endorsed by Congress for a single vote, or maybe three, in the best case scenario.An extremist abstention from ERC or PNV would avoid scares, and that’s what the Government wants.

Yolanda Díaz made that turning point clear when she showed up at the Senate control session on Tuesday afternoon. The Vice President needs retell your story then for weeks emphasizes that the reform had to come with the majority of the investment, despite the fact that in the PSOE they did not despise the help of Cs. She reaffirmed (and thanked) the support of Teruel Exists (a deputy), PRC (1), Canarian Coalition (1) and Nueva Canarias (1), who were added to those raised this morning by Más País (2) and Compromise has been ratified. (one). He ignored, yes, the oranges. But he no longer placed the emphasis on ordinary partners: he pointed out that the Government was still “negotiating with all the political groups” and that “the important thing” is that the “go ahead” rule. That is, it is approved no matter who. The decree law, he said, is a “land agreement“which” should be supported by the whole House. “This is exactly the argument the PSOE has used from the beginning.

But Díaz launched the most profound charge when asked if there are options with the ERC or PNV: “We are negotiating, but I am very clear. Those who are in it must explain what is going to happen, if it depends on them, with the maintaining PP reform“, of 2012. The Vice President wanted to put ERC in front of the mirror: that she is the one who” no for the ultraactive of the agreements “or the” wage increases for fragile workers “,” why if they vote they can not cause workers with less rights than the previous day on Friday to get up “. The Minister of Labor insisted that the reform be in force from 31 December and that this Wednesday good data will be known from permanent contract. And he stressed: what is under debate is whether the text, which “improved the lives of workers for a month”, “hold or fall.” “Those who vote do not say yes to the labor relations framework designed by the PP,” he signed.

“Pisted off” and “stunned”

In private, Díaz’s immediate surroundings showed his great anger with ERC. They are aware that the Vice President, with a popular attraction, is competing with them for part of the left-wing voters in Catalonia, and also that the Republicans are trying to “weaken” her by showing that the labor reform, her star project, continue. with the voices of Cs. “We have more votes to the left of us. They agree with PP and Vox, and they will have to explain it. We do not go with Vox or around the corner “, first-level sources hurt the press. They also remembered that Díaz agreed rules with all groups, including Cs, and that he has no” preferences “for the validation of the decree: the priority is to endorse it, “and it will go out“.

From the circle of the Vice-President, that “anger“, but also the” confusion “.” It is not understood what logic they followed. It was a bargaining chip. That they were honest, like Bildu, who told us they would not support, point. They made us dizzy. But we are calm “, they indicated, emphasizing that the strategy was”fully coordinated with the president“In fact, before leaving for Dubai, Pedro Sánchez pointed out to journalists that the negotiations would remain open until the end, under the command of Díaz, the head of the presidency, Félix Bolaños, and himself,” EFE reported.

Neither Sánchez nor Minister Isabel Rodríguez wanted to be as optimistic in public as the Socialist spokesman in Congress, Héctor Gómez, who had recently confirmed that “the conditions for approving the decree” had been met and without change. They stuck to caution, to the usual phrase “we will work to the end to get the maximum support”, the government spokesman said. the socialists they do not give ERC “for lost”but assume that it is still very rocky.

Sánchez’s team tried to lure her into abstinence by launching offers in other areas, but Junqueras’ party “does not expand the focus“They regret. Republican sources on Tuesday urged EL PERIÓDICO that there is no room to talk about other issues outside the decree:” If they do not move, we will not move. “What the ERC wants is that the text to change, and it is not ready for the PSOE. “The bosses would fall“, warns them. It is precisely the head of the CEOs, Antonio Garamendi, accompanying the president on the journey to the Emirates. The room for maneuver was always zero: the two-party strategy therefore focused on trying to convince the groups that they had. facilitating the validation of a reform agreed with its protagonists, the social agents, without changing a single comma. shock plan against abuse in employment bias, especially women.That is, it does not affect any of the text sealed with employers and unions.

Margin of one to three votes

The dialogue also continues with the PNV, which puts the priority of regional agreements ahead. Socialists call on their “responsibility“, but they know that the options are minimal because” it competes with Bildu and is put under pressure by ELA and LAB “, the majority unions in Basque Country. The ‘jeltzale’ formation assured them of the group in Congress did not change his position, but it was traditionally a party that was more sensitive to the requests of the Executive in difficult moments, but the leader of the PNV, Andoni Ortuzar, confirmed to the Basque Central on Monday that he did not will move if there is no transfer in. the only point they claim.

That very search until the last minute of ERC and PNV has another function: to contribute to the story, to let know (and see) that the Government tried without hesitation with its investment partners, and that they were the ones who did not give his arm to turn. A Socialist minister, very close to Sánchez, concluded that for this reason they do not believe that the fact that the reform comes with Cs has a cost, because the ordinary allies “know” that the Executive requested your support to the end. They do believe in the PSOE that Díaz comes out “shaved”. “We thought that with her it would be easier for the text to continue, but it was the opposite, because ERC is trying to punish her,” a member of the Cabinet assured the Senate. In the Díaz area, they deny that the vice president is affected, as the reform is a commitment of the whole government, and the magnifying glass will eventually be placed on the president. The yes of Cs moreover serves the PSOE to present itself as a focused alternative capable of build bridges left and right when there are ten days left for the elections in Castilla y León.

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With last-minute contacts, the Government is therefore looking for “greater slackness“in Thursday’s vote. Now it has 170 confirmed yes – PSOE (120), United We Can (34), Cs (9), More Country (2), Compromise (1), Teruel Exists (1), CC (1 ), NC (1) and PRC (1) —and accept the support of the PDECat (4) and, at least, the abstention of the UPN (2), although both powers will decide on their vote this Wednesday: PP ( 88), Vox (52), Bildu (5), Junts (4), CUP (2), BNG (1) and Foro Asturias (1), plus ERC (13), Bildu (5) and PNV (6), and probably a former Cs deputy who is part of the Mixed, Pablo Cambronero, who investigated the CEO.

The PSOE therefore wants “guarantee“that the vote is prosperous without surprises, because he does not trust the CC or UPN, which” never usually agrees with the Government “. For this, he needs at least the abstinence from ERC or PNV. have yet to be seen that I have succeeded.Time, as we have said, becomes scarce.