Currently, the drought already affects approximately 70% of the national territory, mainly in the north and northwest of the country.

Man proposes and God disposes, relentlessly says a popular adage. And there are innumerable cases of its application. As an example, in the economic history of Mexico is the government of Miguel de la Madrid (1982 -1988). After great efforts to clean up the economic disaster that López Portillo had inherited, in 1985 and 1986 fate attacked cruelly. In September of that first year, there were two tremendous earthquakes and the following year the price of oil plummeted from 28 to 8 dollars a barrel when Mexico’s exports were 70% petroleum products.

History repeats itself and for all there is in the vineyard of the Lord. It is the old idea of ​​the eternal return of the German philosopher Nietzsche. The current government of the so-called 4T has been attacked by two serious external shocks: first, the outbreak of the covid pandemic and currently the drought that already affects approximately 70% of the national territory, mainly in the north and northwest of the country. country.

In the respected column by Eduardo Ruiz-Healy on Monday here in El Economista, the cruel impact that the heat wave that accompanies the drought phenomenon will have on the most unprotected classes was made clear. Surely, given the scarcity of the precious liquid, the wealthy segments may have greater economic capacity to acquire it. The latter is surely valid for the affected city of Monterrey! And reports indicate that extreme and exceptional drought conditions increased in the country compared to last year’s record.

Aside from their relative severity, one important difference between covid and drought is the degree of predictability. Of course, no one can know the future with certainty, but experts report that the climatic phenomenon to which the current drought is attributed occurs periodically and lasts between two and three years. In that order, it has already been announced that the drought “will continue until the end of 2022.” In that same sense, the opinion of an expert stated verbatim: “it is important that decision makers use climate forecasts, which allow – three months in advance – to know how the rainy season will come, as well as to know when there will be less rain. than the historical average and determine preventive measures”. But there is no known preventive or palliative measure for the phenomenon. Nothing has been announced.

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Bruno Donatello


economic debate

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