Canada’s climate plans are ‘very insufficient’ in the world ranking

The independent Climate Action Tracker (CAT) has analyzed countries’ updated Paris Agreement 2030 target numbers and found the “very insufficient, ”Pouring cold water on Liberal leader Justin Trudeau’s campaign emphasis on expert backing.

“Very insufficient” means that, as it stands, Canada is on track for 4 C warming, much higher than the Paris Agreement target of as close to 1.5 C as possible. To put that in context, last month’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report estimated five scenarios ranging from very low to very high emissions growth; In the highest emission scenario, he estimated global warming at 4.4 C by the end of the century.

Canada not only ranks as the worst climate performer in the G7, it is also the only CAT-rated G7 country that ranks in the “highly insufficient” category. Italy and France did not qualify, but the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Japan and the European Union perform better, according to the tracker.

While it is a step above countries like Russia and Saudi Arabia, which the CAT classifies as “critically insufficient”, the highly insufficient club is second worst ranked, leaving Canada mingling with China, India, Brazil, Australia and other big players. polluters.

“We’ve been patting ourselves on the back for the action we’re taking against climate change, and I think there’s a sense in Canada that we’re doing a lot,” said Keith Stewart, senior energy strategist at Greenpeace Canada.

“The Climate Action Tracker helps us remind ourselves that, in fact, we are not doing enough.”

The tracker, run by the nonprofits Climate Analytics and the New Climate Institute, says Canada’s revised 2030 target is not entirely consistent with Paris, but acknowledges December’s revised Ottawa climate plan and announced new measures. in the 2021 Budget.

“If Canada can successfully implement all of these announced plans, it would do a lot to close the ambition gap and its rating would improve to ‘almost sufficient’,” according to the tracker.

NDP environmental critic and Victoria nominee Laurel Collins called it “a big yes.”

“All we’ve seen so far from the Liberals is they don’t keep their promises,” he said. “We’ve seen them make commitments over the last six years to take climate action and then do the opposite.”

CAT says a Paris Agreement-aligned target for Canada is a 54 percent reduction from 2005 levels by 2030. Conservatives commit to 30 percent, Liberals 40 to 45 percent, the NDP 50 percent and the Green Party 60 percent.

Canada is the only G7 country that @climateactiontr has “very insufficient” action to meet the Paris Agreement goal of keeping warming at 1.5 C. #cdnpoli # elxn44

While the tracker acknowledges some steps, such as raising the price of carbon and moving the 100% zero-emissions vehicle target date from 2040 to 2035, CAT says Canada appears to be taking one step forward and two steps back.

“It continues to expand its pipeline capacity for fossil fuels, although modeled by your own energy regulator shows that additional capacity exceeds available supply even under a relatively unambitious climate policy, ”the tracker reads, adding that the decision also comes at a time when there is a significant divestment from oil sands.

Loans from former US President Barack Obama scientific advisor John HoldrenStewart said the choices lawmakers must make are to cut emissions, adapt to a changing world, or suffer the consequences.

“The less we decide to do of the first two, the more we choose to increase the suffering,” he said. “And I think we really have to look at weak climate plans as essentially a plan to maximize suffering.”

Amara Possian of climate advocacy group 350 says Canadians should be wary of the ambitious promises of a sitting government.

“When people show you who they are, you have to believe them. And time and again over the past few years, liberals have focused on propping up the fossil fuel industry rather than transforming our economy to deal with this moment, ”he said.

“They made promises, but they also showed us that it is necessary to put pressure on the climate.”

The Liberal Party did not return a request for comment before the deadline.

John Woodside / Local Journalism Initiative / Canada National Observer

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