Politics Insider for September 21, 2021: Trudeau Maintains His Control; O’Toole has some problems; and Legault is locked
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After $ 600 million, six weeks, 150 votes, three debates, a handful of gravel thrown in anger, long lineups and 13,513,848 votes, we finish terribly close where we were when we starteda liberal minority.
Severe: Writing in Maclean’s, Shannon Proudfoot note that it was a choice that disappointed everyone.
It was, perhaps in the most grizzled and depressing way, a very adult campaign that adapts to an exhausted world that still cannot be correctly described as post-pandemic. There were no starry eyes here, no thought that the best is possible, no crowds waving in a wave of hope that maybe this time will be different. This was the electoral version of a marriage of convenience: bleak, but it gets the job done.
Still, a win is a win: Paul Wells points out, however, that a win is a win, and Trudeau has a better season ahead of him than Erin O’Toole.
In 2019, I dared to hope that Justin Trudeau, who returned to power with a smaller term, would take the lesson seriously and change the way he worked and envisioned government. It did not. He won’t now either. It doesn’t have it in it. It will let its staff run the office of each minister through staff sent by the PMO, it will hamper all decisions and sideline the skeptics. Perhaps it works better the fourth time your party seeks the voters’ favor than the second and third. I mean … maybe? But a victory is a victory. Trudeau’s problems now are the problems of power.. He goes on to implement a nationwide network of daycare centers, triples the federal carbon tax and accompanying rebates, has some awkward chats with the families of Polytechnique victims and with – hoo boy—Joe bidenWatch for at least a year that the same parliamentary committees that were controlled by the opposition continue to be controlled by the opposition.
Frankly, These problems are fantastic compared to the problems that Erin O’Toole will face.. The Conservative leader is, as I write this based on shaky initial results that are likely to change, around two popular voting points in Ontario and four in Quebec on By Andrew Scheer 2019 result. That’s after taking sharply more centrist positions on climate, firearms, same-sex rights and public finances than Scheer.
Legault blocked? Justin ling examines the landscape in Quebec, and observes that Francois legault you are among the people who didn’t get what they wanted last night.
The results are a clear sign that there are limits to Legault’s popularity. While Quebecers can broadly support his approach to the pandemic, that is no guarantee that their towering support will remain there. More generally, the results may suggest that Quebecers are not impressed with the mating ritual displayed by party leaders..
Kenney and Bernier: A key part of the election was the fight for prairie votes, where Jason kenney brought the Tories to their knees and a Quebecer ended up playing spoiler, Jason markusoff writes. Although Maxime bernier did not win any seats, his party changed the race.
The People’s Party came nowhere close to winning, but it did exceed 10 percent of the vote in some rural and western Ontario constituencies. And in contests across the country, close races settled by well under five percentage points, those votes helped spoil potential victories for the Conservatives. Places like Cambridge and Niagara Center in Ontario; South Okanagan-West Kootenay in BC; and potentially at Alberta’s own Edmonton Center. In his speech, Bernier treated his five percent increase in the Canadian popular vote (from one percent in 2019) as something of a victory, a sign that his movement has a future. In the Calgary speech at the weekend, he noted that his main intention is to create a protest movement. rather than constructive politics. “I will be with you in the streets to protest, fight, fight for freedom,” he said.
Personal changes: It was an in-and-out night. Gone are the liberals Bernadette Jordan (minister of fisheries), Maryam monsef (minister of rural economic development), Lenore Zann and Scott simms. Liberals Yasir Naqvi and George chahal they are new faces, just like Green Mike morrice and conservative Melissa lantsman. CTV has a summary of winners and losers, although it will take a few days to figure it out, given all the close races and the delay while we wait for Elections Canada to count the ballots by mail.
No seat for Paul: It was a rough night for the besieged green leader Annamie Paul, who was fourth in his driving, reports CBC.
What were these elections used for? Any. Aside from wasting $ 600 million, politicizing the vaccination campaign and further dividing the country. The numbers are practically the same. All that has changed are some faces. Including Justin Trudeau, who smiles less. He retains the power, but he loses his bet.
Liberals relieved: On a column at Star, Susan delacourt It is not so depressing, but note that it is a “complicated saga”.
As far as I can tell, Trudeau didn’t consult much When they decide to launch this election in the country, some liberals will be arguing, correctly, that this too-close election happened because the voices of dissent in a summer election were ruled out or not heard at all. Everything says that Trudeau and his team have every right to be relieved, but not triumphant.
Where O’Toole? At Mail, John Ivison writes that Trudeau held “an opportunistic election in the midst of a pandemic,” but points to the potential for trouble ahead for O’Toole.
Conservatives paved the way for defeat in an extraordinary campaign chairman speech Walied soliman, on Election Day, when he told the Toronto star that keeping Trudeau in a minority would be a victory. Considering the polls that saw the Conservatives hit record lows over the summer, that’s an understandable boost. But saying it while the polls were still open and the prospect of unrest still existed was highly unusual. Soliman’s comments speak the lack of job security for any modern conservative leader who loses, but especially one that was elected by just a third of party members in the last leadership contest.
For the record: What did the leaders say after the results were released? Read our transcripts from last night’s speeches:
Erin O’Toole: ‘I will never stop serving this great country’
Jagmeet Singh: ‘We will fight for you with everything we have’
Justin trudeau: ‘Our government is ready’
Later today: For more post-election analysis, tune in to our next Twitter space at 2 p.m., with a cast of Maclean’s writers and contributors.
– Stephen Maher