4 reasons behind Russian trampling in Ukraine

The invasion in Ukraine is not going as well as Vladimir Putin would have liked, hammered many experts on the issue in recent weeks. Unusually, even within Russia, experts are questioning Russian military capabilities in Ukraine.

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This is the case of Mikhail Kodoryonok, a retired Russian general, a regular on the Rossiya-1 channel. He said Monday that the Ukrainian army was better prepared than the Russian army.

For Rémi Landry, retired lieutenant-colonel of the Canadian Armed Forces, the trampling of the Russians in Ukraine can be explained by a few important factors.

Here are four observations he makes of the conflict at this stage:

The Ukrainian troops are particularly well informed of the movements of the Russians on the territory.

“I have the impression that the Ukrainians are receiving excellent information regarding, among other things, the tests that the Russians have made to cross the rivers with the bridging equipment. It absolutely did not succeed,” notes Rémi Landry.

Information from American intelligence would be transmitted to the Ukrainians, in particular. In the field, small groups of soldiers use drones for reconnaissance, giving them a clear tactical advantage.

Constantly slowed down or stopped by the Ukrainian defense, the Russians are limited to doing one thing, but what they do best: bombing.

“Bombing with their planes, their artillery pieces, but meanwhile the Ukrainians continue to increase their defensive and offensive capabilities. So much so that they are able to counter-bomb the artillery pieces. It is trampling that we are currently seeing”.

The Ukrainians have a much larger pool of potential soldiers, who are even better trained than the Russian army, according to Mikhail Kodoryonok.

To successfully capture a territory, according to military principles, the invader must have 10 times more soldiers than the defending group. To succeed in taking Ukraine, Putin would therefore have to mobilize Russia’s total strike force.

“And probably even more than that!” says Rémi Landry. As we said before, it’s one thing to take possession of a city, but at the same time, you have to be able to maintain it. If the people inside this city don’t feel liberated by the Russians, but on the contrary feel invaded… These people all become potential enemies of the Russians. If you have a city of 1 million people and there are 500,000 left…you have potentially 500,000 people who will want to slow you down or slow you down!”

It is also much easier to mobilize people already there, whose future is at stake than to recruit Russian soldiers who have no personal connection to the conflict.

Although they are very well equipped in artillery equipment, the Russians would have used a good part of their more modern equipment, believes the retired lieutenant-colonel.

“Which is not necessarily the case for the Ukrainians who continue to receive increasingly modern equipment from NATO. There is an imbalance,” judge Mr. Landry.

***Watch his full interview in the video above. ***


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