Who should be in charge of the next Italian government? It is the delicate mission that rests on the president ‘s shoulders Sergio Mattarella who again plays the referees. Consultations with the various political parties are starting and the search for consensus will be difficult. The only imperative: that the new cabinet benefit from a stable parliamentary majority. And that’s the whole problem. Giuseppe Conte precisely resigned yesterday to avoid a disallowance in the Senate. He nevertheless hopes to obtain a new term, his third since 2018. In this context, the alliance of far-right and right-wing parties – Forza Italia (FI) of Silvio Berlusconi, the League of Matteo Salvini and Fratelli d’Italia (FDI) by Giorgia Meloni – will send a unitary delegation to the president.
According to “Corriere della Sera“, the country’s main daily, the most plausible hypothesis is that of a new Conte government.
The other possibility would be a government led by a personality from one of the two main parties of the current coalition, the Democratic Party (PD, center-left) or the 5 Star Movement (M5S, anti-system before coming to power. ).
There remains the hypothesis of the convening of new legislative elections. A high-risk perspective for the center-left government: according to opinion polls, the victory would go to the bloc formed by the right of Silvio Berlusconi (Forza Italia) and the far right (the League of Matteo Salvini and the Fratelli d’Italia party) which is constantly calling for an early return of the Italians to the polls.
“In this context, early elections are not really possible today. I think the probability is close to zero. The stake is too high for the parties in power today, too high to run the risk of early elections, which they could easily lose “ underlines Roberto D’Alimonte, professor of political science at LUISS University in Rome.
Another uncertainty: the position of Matteo Renzi, the former head of the Italian government is at the origin of this umpteenth political crisis. His little party “Italy Viva“Withdrew from the ruling coalition after weeks of criticism of the handling of the health crisis and Mr. Conte’s economic spending plans.